Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	03:45	Max
Croatia	02:45	Max
Czech Republic	02:45	Max
Denmark	02:45	Max
Finland	03:45	Max
France	02:45	Max
Germany	02:45	Discovery+
Hungary	02:45	Max
Italy	02:45	Discovery+
Norway	02:45	MAX
Poland	02:45	Max
Romania	03:45	Max
Serbia	02:45	Max
Slovenia	02:45	Max
Sweden	02:45	Max
United Kingdom	01:45	Discovery+ UK


	Yulia Putintseva		Darya Kasatkina

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.68	2.21	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.72	2.26	Watch
	1.68	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.88)	2.2 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yulia Putintseva
56.6%

Darya Kasatkina
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yulia Putintseva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yulia Putintseva's performance.

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darya Kasatkina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yulia Putintseva than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yulia Putintseva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darya Kasatkina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darya Kasatkina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52%	0%	48%

Yulia Putintseva - Darya Kasatkina Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Putintseva will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Kasatkina will win (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Putintseva: 32.4% – 71.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Putintseva is ranked WTA: 23. Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 10.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Putintseva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Darya Kasatkina - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 49.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yulia Putintseva
WTA Australian Open
15.01.25	Yulia Putintseva - Shuai Zhang	2:0 ✺
13.01.25	Yulia Putintseva - Elina Avanesyan	2:1 ✺
WTA Adelaide
10.01.25	Jessica Pegula - Yulia Putintseva	2:0 ✺
09.01.25	Yulia Putintseva - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Ons Jabeur - Yulia Putintseva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW
- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Australian Open
15.01.25	Yafan Wang - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
13.01.25	Viktoriya Tomova - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
09.01.25	Madison Keys - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
08.01.25	Emerson Jones - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Olivia Gadecki - Darya Kasatkina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Ningbo
18.10.24	Darya Kasatkina - Yulia Putintseva	2:1
WTA Madrid
29.04.24	Yulia Putintseva - Darya Kasatkina	2:1
WTA Wimbledon
05.07.18	Yulia Putintseva - Darya Kasatkina	0:2

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