Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday


	Yulia Putintseva		Yue Yuan

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.4
	1.55	2.45
	1.57	2.52
	1.58	2.53
	1.62	2.3
	1.59	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)	2.42 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yulia Putintseva
60.5%

Yue Yuan
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yulia Putintseva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Yue Yuan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yulia Putintseva than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yulia Putintseva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yue Yuan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	0%	35.7%

Yulia Putintseva - Yue Yuan Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Putintseva will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Yuan will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Putintseva: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Putintseva is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Yuan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Putintseva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Putintseva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Putintseva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yulia Putintseva
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
13.04.24	Nao Hibino - Yulia Putintseva	2:1 ✺
12.04.24	Naomi Osaka - Yulia Putintseva	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.24	Arina Rodionova - Yulia Putintseva	Canceled ✺
WTA Miami
26.03.24	Victoria Azarenka - Yulia Putintseva	2:1 ✺
25.03.24	Yulia Putintseva - Anhelina Kalinina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LL?LW
- Yue Yuan
WTA Rouen
19.04.24	Sloane Stephens - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Mayar Sherif - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.24	Maria Sakkari - Yue Yuan	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Anna Blinkova - Yue Yuan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Hobart
11.01.24	Yulia Putintseva - Yue Yuan	0:2

Yulia Putintseva - Yue Yuan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide