Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bari (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday


	Yulia Starodubtseva		Ipek Oz

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.35	2.95
	1.35	3	Watch
	1.37	3.17
	1.37	3.17
	1.33	3.25
	1.29	3.43	Watch
	1.33	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.54)	3.16 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yulia Starodubtseva
70.2%

Ipek Oz
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yulia Starodubtseva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yulia Starodubtseva's performance.

Ipek Oz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ipek Oz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yulia Starodubtseva than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yulia Starodubtseva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipek Oz than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ipek Oz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Yulia Starodubtseva - Ipek Oz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Starodubtseva will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Oz will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Starodubtseva: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Oz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Starodubtseva will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yulia Starodubtseva
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.24	Yulia Starodubtseva - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
24.05.24	Marina Stakusic - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
22.05.24	Xiaodi You - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
21.05.24	Katarina Zavatska - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.24	Alize Cornet - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWL
- Ipek Oz
ITF Tournaments
30.05.24	Varvara Lepchenko - Ipek Oz	Oz I. retired ✺
29.05.24	Aurora Zantedeschi - Ipek Oz	0:2 ✺
WTA Roland Garros
21.05.24	Ipek Oz - Noma Akugue Noha	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.05.24	Ipek Oz - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Ipek Oz - Marina Stakusic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?WLLW

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