Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Kyoto (Japan), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday


	Yuno Kitahara		Michika Ozeki

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.93	1.75
	1.87	1.86
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	1.93	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)	1.79 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuno Kitahara
48.3%

Michika Ozeki
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuno Kitahara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuno Kitahara's performance.

Michika Ozeki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michika Ozeki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuno Kitahara than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuno Kitahara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michika Ozeki than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michika Ozeki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yuno Kitahara - Michika Ozeki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ozeki is ranked WTA: 706.

Kitahara is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ozeki is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kitahara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ozeki will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuno Kitahara
ITF Tournaments
16.09.24	Yuno Kitahara - Yui Ohwaki	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Yuno Kitahara - Elina Nepliy	0:2 ✺
12.09.24	Yuno Kitahara - Punnin Kovapitukted	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Yuno Kitahara - Sophie Chua	2:0 ✺
10.09.24	Riya Bhatia - Yuno Kitahara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW
- Michika Ozeki
ITF Tournaments
16.09.24	Nana Kawagishi - Michika Ozeki	0:2 ✺
21.08.24	Han Shi - Michika Ozeki	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Mana Kawamura - Michika Ozeki	1:2 ✺
14.08.24	Michika Ozeki - Qianhui Tang	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Michika Ozeki - Ke Ren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWLW

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