Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Changwon, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2025, Thursday


	Yunseong Chung		Evan Zhu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
			Watch
	1.32	3.21
	1.32	3.19	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.34	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.59)	3.06 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunseong Chung
69.6%

Evan Zhu
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunseong Chung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunseong Chung's performance.

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Evan Zhu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunseong Chung than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunseong Chung that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Evan Zhu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Chung is ranked ATP: 1323. Zhu is ranked ATP: 589.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chung is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Evan Zhu - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.51%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunseong Chung
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Thanapet Chanta - Yunseong Chung	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Yunseong Chung	0:2 ✺
22.05.25	Yunseong Chung - Sanhui Shin	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Chase Ferguson - Yunseong Chung	Ferguson C. retired ✺
20.05.25	Jae Hwan Kim - Yunseong Chung	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWL?W
- Evan Zhu
ITF Tournaments
04.06.25	Ji Sung Nam - Evan Zhu	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Kousuke Ogura - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	Jea Moon Lee - Evan Zhu	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.05.25	Evan Zhu - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Evan Zhu - Jake Delaney	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLLW

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