Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 CROISSY-BEAUBOURG (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki		Arina Rodionova

	1	2
	1.62	2.1
	1.67	2.07
	1.7	2.11
	1.7	2.11
	1.67	2.1
	1.69	2.08	Watch
	1.66	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.24)	2.09 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuriko Lily Miyazaki
55.5%

Arina Rodionova
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuriko Lily Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuriko Lily Miyazaki's performance.

Arina Rodionova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arina Rodionova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuriko Lily Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuriko Lily Miyazaki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arina Rodionova than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arina Rodionova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Miyazaki is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rodionova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Miyazaki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rodionova will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Miyazaki won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuriko Lily Miyazaki
ITF Tournaments
27.03.24	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Valentina Ryser	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Diana Marcinkevica	2:1 ✺
22.03.24	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Timea Babos	1:2 ✺
21.03.24	Polina Kudermetova - Yuriko Lily Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
19.03.24	Francisca Jorge - Yuriko Lily Miyazaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Arina Rodionova
ITF Tournaments
27.03.24	Diana Martynov - Arina Rodionova	0:2 ✺
26.03.24	Himeno Sakatsume - Arina Rodionova	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
17.03.24	Darja Semenistaja - Arina Rodionova	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Arina Rodionova - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Marina Bassols Ribera - Arina Rodionova	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.08.23	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Arina Rodionova	1:2

Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Arina Rodionova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide