Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kuala Lumpur 2, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Yuta Kawahashi		Chase Ferguson

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.71	1.97	Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	1.88 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Kawahashi
51.2%

Chase Ferguson
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Kawahashi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Chase Ferguson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Kawahashi than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuta Kawahashi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chase Ferguson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yuta Kawahashi - Chase Ferguson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kawahashi is ranked ATP: 771. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 696.

Kawahashi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ferguson is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kawahashi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Yuta Kawahashi - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Kawahashi
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Thantub Suksumrarn - Yuta Kawahashi	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Daniil Sarksian - Yuta Kawahashi	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Yan Cheng Chen - Yuta Kawahashi	1:2 ✺
15.11.25	Arthur Weber - Yuta Kawahashi	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Markus Malaszszak - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Tomohiro Masabayashi - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Arjun Mehrotra - Chase Ferguson	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Chase Ferguson - Justin Barki	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Chase Ferguson - Thantub Suksumrarn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

Yuta Kawahashi - Chase Ferguson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide