Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LUGANO (SWITZERLAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 4 March 2024, Monday


	Yuta Shimizu		Henri Squire

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.23	1.64
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.31	1.58	Watch
	2.21	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.93)	1.61 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
42.1%

Henri Squire
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuta Shimizu's form might have worsened.

Henri Squire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henri Squire's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuta Shimizu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henri Squire than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henri Squire, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Yuta Shimizu - Henri Squire Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Squire will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Squire: 30.4% – 86.2%.

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Preview

Shimizu is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Squire is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Squire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Squire will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Yuta Shimizu - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Yuta Shimizu - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Yuta Shimizu - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
26.02.24	Yuta Shimizu - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWW
- Henri Squire
ATP Challenger
03.03.24	Norbert Gombos - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Henri Squire - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
26.02.24	Henri Squire - Egor Gerasimov	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Henri Squire - Akira Santillan	Santillan A. retired ✺
18.02.24	Henri Squire - Strong Kirchheimer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLW?L

Yuta Shimizu - Henri Squire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide