Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Soma Bay 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday


	Zura Tkemaladze		Ergi Kirkin

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Zura Tkemaladze
28.1%

Ergi Kirkin
71.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zura Tkemaladze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ergi Kirkin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Zura Tkemaladze aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Ergi Kirkin aligns with the current prediction.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Tkemaladze is ranked ATP: 1170. Kirkin is ranked ATP: 564.

Tkemaladze is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kirkin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kirkin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kirkin is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zura Tkemaladze
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Vadym Ursu - Zura Tkemaladze	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.01.26	Zura Tkemaladze - Marko Miladinovic	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Zura Tkemaladze - Maxwell McKennon	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Mert Naci Turker - Zura Tkemaladze	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Zura Tkemaladze - Ludvig Fredrik Hede	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWWW
- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
18.01.26	Ergi Kirkin - Gianmarco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.01.26	Ergi Kirkin - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Ergi Kirkin - Oscar Brown	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Ergi Kirkin - Mustapha El Natour	2:0 ✺
02.01.26	Yannik Kelm - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL

Zura Tkemaladze - Ergi Kirkin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide