Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Bujumbura, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Zuzanna Pawlikowska		Darya Astakhova

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	6.28	1.13
	5.01	1.13	Watch
	5	1.13
	6.8	1.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.77 ↑ (2.7)	1.11 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zuzanna Pawlikowska
16.2%

Darya Astakhova
83.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zuzanna Pawlikowska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zuzanna Pawlikowska's form might have worsened.

Darya Astakhova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darya Astakhova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zuzanna Pawlikowska than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zuzanna Pawlikowska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darya Astakhova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Darya Astakhova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pawlikowska is ranked WTA: 413. Astakhova is ranked WTA: 336.

Recent form of Pawlikowska has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Astakhova is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Astakhova is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zuzanna Pawlikowska
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Micol Salvadori	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Sohyun Park - Zuzanna Pawlikowska	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Taylah Preston	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Yasmine Kabbaj - Zuzanna Pawlikowska	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Darya Astakhova
ITF Tournaments
08.04.26	Mathilde Lollia - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Darya Astakhova - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	Astakhova D. retired ✺
07.03.26	Darya Astakhova - Rositsa Dencheva	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Darya Astakhova - Dalila Spiteri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?WWW

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