Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Nairobi, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nairobi 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Zuzanna Pawlikowska		Martina Colmegna

	1	2
			Watch
	3.2	1.3
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.2	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.06)	1.52 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zuzanna Pawlikowska
35%

Martina Colmegna
65%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zuzanna Pawlikowska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zuzanna Pawlikowska's form might have worsened.

Martina Colmegna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martina Colmegna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zuzanna Pawlikowska than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zuzanna Pawlikowska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Colmegna than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martina Colmegna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Martina Colmegna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Colmegna (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colmegna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pawlikowska is ranked WTA: 461. Colmegna is ranked WTA: 450.

Pawlikowska has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Colmegna is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Colmegna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Colmegna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Colmegna will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Zuzanna Pawlikowska - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zuzanna Pawlikowska
ITF Tournaments
08.01.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Demi Tran	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Angella Okutoyi - Zuzanna Pawlikowska	2:1 ✺
02.01.26	Anastasiya Kuparev - Zuzanna Pawlikowska	Kuparev A. retired ✺
01.01.26	Stefanie Auer - Zuzanna Pawlikowska	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWL?W
- Martina Colmegna
ITF Tournaments
08.01.26	Aaddi Gupta - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Nehira Sanon - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Angella Okutoyi - Martina Colmegna	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Martina Colmegna - Alyssa Reguer	2:0 ✺
02.01.26	Abdel Aziz Lamis Alhussein - Martina Colmegna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martina Colmegna
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Tatjana Maria - Martina Colmegna	✺

Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Martina Colmegna