The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Lima 71.9%
Universitario de Deportes 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
39%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Lima's performance.
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Lima that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alianza Lima - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 4.
Alianza Lima has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Uni de Deportes is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Alianza Lima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Uni de Deportes has had a series of away games.
Alianza Lima could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).