Match Info

Serie A1 Women - 5th-12th places - Round 3

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Busto Arsizio		Macerata

	1	2
	1.29	3.5
	1.3	3
	1.3	3.31
	1.34	3.14	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.31	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)	3.19 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busto Arsizio
70.8%

Macerata
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busto Arsizio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Busto Arsizio's performance.

Macerata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Macerata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busto Arsizio than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macerata than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Busto Arsizio - Macerata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Busto Arsizio is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Macerata's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Macerata has had a series of away games.

In this match, Busto Arsizio is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Busto Arsizio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Busto Arsizio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Outrights of Italian Serie A Volleyball Women for now

UYBA Busto Arsizio W: 1.55% Macerata W: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
8	UYBA Busto Arsizio W	1	0	1	2:3	1
10	Macerata W	1	0	1	1:3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UYBA Busto Arsizio
Italian Serie A Volleyball Women
15.03.26	Azzurra Volley San Casciano - Busto Arsizio	3:1 ✺
04.03.26	Busto Arsizio - Imoco Volley Conegliano	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Imoco Volley Conegliano - Busto Arsizio	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Consolini - Busto Arsizio	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Busto Arsizio - Milano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Roana CBF HR Macerata
Italian Serie A Volleyball Women
15.03.26	Fenera Chieri - Macerata	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Macerata - Azzurra Volley San Casciano	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Azzurra Volley San Casciano - Macerata	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Foppapedretti Bergamo - Macerata	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	Scandicci - Macerata	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Volleyball Women
17.01.26	Macerata - Busto Arsizio	0:3
02.11.25	Busto Arsizio - Macerata	1:3
19.03.23	Macerata - Busto Arsizio	3:1
04.12.22	Busto Arsizio - Macerata	3:0

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