Match Info

Nations League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday

Location: East Asian Games Dome (Macao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport


	USA W		China W

	1	2
	1.22	4.00
	1.17	4.30
	1.16	5.41
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.15	5.36
	1.19	4.19	Watch
	1.21	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.31)	4.5 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA W
79.1%

China W
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USA W's performance.

China W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and China W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA W than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USA W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for China W than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that China W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

USA W - China W Predictions

Users Predictions: USA W will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups


33. Eggleston L.	8. Chen Houyu
6. Hentz M.	5. Diao Linyu
11. Kaahaaina-Torres S.	13. Dong Yuhan
27. Kubik M.	17. Feifan Ni
10. Lee S.	6. Gong Xiangyu (C)
29. McCage M.	16. Guo Z.
24. Ogbogu C.	11. Li C.
7. O'Neal A.	3. Tang Xin
2. Poulter J. (C)	9. Wang Aoqian
16. Rettke D.	18. Wang Mengjie
8. Rodriguez A.	7. Wang Yuanyuan
34. Samedy S.	14. Xie Shengyu
3. Skinner A.	10. Yang Shuming
12. Thompson J.	2. Zhuang Yushan

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 1.

USA is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

China is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, USA is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USA won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 42:33. (average 2.1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
11.07.26	USA W - Brazil W	3:0 ✺
10.07.26	USA W - Turkey W	3:2 ✺
09.07.26	USA W - Poland W	2:3 ✺
08.07.26	Thailand W - USA W	0:3 ✺
21.06.26	Serbia W - USA W	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW
- China W volleyball
Nations League Volleyball Women
12.07.26	China W - Italy W	2:3 ✺
11.07.26	China W - Dominican Republic W	1:3 ✺
09.07.26	China W - Ukraine W	3:0 ✺
08.07.26	China W - Canada W	2:3 ✺
21.06.26	Turkey W - China W	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Nations League Volleyball Women
13.07.25	China W - USA W	3:2
Olympic Games - Volleyball Women
29.07.24	USA W - China W	2:3
Nations League Volleyball Women
16.05.24	China W - USA W	3:1
02.07.23	China W - USA W	3:2
18.06.22	USA W - China W	3:0
Olympic Games - Volleyball Women
26.07.21	China W - USA W	0:3
Nations League Volleyball Women
20.06.21	China W - USA W	3:0

USA W - China W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide