Match Info
COUNTER-STRIKE: Stake Ranked Episode 4 - 1/8-finalsDate: 1 October 2026, Thursday
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 |
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 |
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Astralis |
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Alliance |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.5 |
|
2.4 |
Watch |
 |
1.51 |
|
2.45 |
|
 |
1.55 |
|
2.39 |
Watch |
 |
1.5 |
|
2.4 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↓ (1.53) |
|
2.41 ↑ (2.37) |
|
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Astralis 61.4% | Alliance 38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astralis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Alliance has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astralis than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alliance than the current prediction. (+2.4%) 
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Preview
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.Alliance could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.Recently, Astralis has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd. Astralis is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match. No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;