Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: IEM Krakow - Qualification - Winners stage - Final

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Astralis		NRG Esports

	1	2
			Watch
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.54	2.45
	1.44	2.5
	1.55	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.65)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astralis
61.6%

NRG Esports
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astralis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

NRG Esports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astralis than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Astralis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NRG Esports than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NRG Esports could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Preview

Astralis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

NRG is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

NRG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Astralis has had a series of away games.

Recently, NRG has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Astralis - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.29%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Astralis CS
eSports
28.01.26	Astralis - paiN Gaming	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	PARIVISION - Astralis	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Fnatic - Astralis	1:2 ✺
02.12.25	Team Liquid - Astralis	2:0 ✺
01.12.25	Aurora - Astralis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWLW
- NRG Esports CS
eSports
28.01.26	NRG Esports - B8	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	NRG Esports - Heroic	Canceled ✺
11.01.26	NRG Esports - Marsborne	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	NRG Esports - Voca	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	NRG Esports - Phoenix	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 W?WWW

Astralis - NRG Esports: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide