Match Info

DOTA 2: DREAMLEAGUE SEASON 20 (EUROPE)

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Evil Geniuses		Aster

	1	2
	1.52	2.45
	1.56	2.46
	1.57	2.3
	1.52	2.4	Watch
	1.49	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.84)	2.4 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evil Geniuses
61%

Aster
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evil Geniuses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Evil Geniuses's performance.

Aster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aster might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evil Geniuses than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Evil Geniuses that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aster than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aster could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Evil Geniuses - Aster Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Evil Geniuses will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Aster will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aster: 46.4% – 99%.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Evil Geniuses won 4.

Recent matches Evil Geniuses is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aster is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Evil Geniuses will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Evil Geniuses won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Evil Geniuses won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evil Geniuses Dota 2
eSports
18.06.23	Evil Geniuses - PSG.LGD	1:2 ✺
17.06.23	BetBoom Team - Evil Geniuses	2:1 ✺
16.06.23	Evil Geniuses - Talon Esports	2:0 ✺
15.06.23	Golden Guardians - Evil Geniuses	0:1 ✺
15.06.23	Evil Geniuses - NRG Esports	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWW
- Aster Dota 2
eSports
18.06.23	Aster - BetBoom Team	0:2 ✺
17.06.23	Talon Esports - Aster	2:0 ✺
16.06.23	Aster - 9 Pandas	1:2 ✺
14.06.23	Entity eSports - Aster	0:2
13.06.23	BeastCoast - Aster	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

eSports
29.04.23	Evil Geniuses - Aster	2:0
09.04.23	Aster - Evil Geniuses	0:2
03.03.23	Evil Geniuses - Aster	2:1
04.08.22	Evil Geniuses - Aster	0:2
07.10.21	Evil Geniuses - Aster	2:0
19.01.19	Evil Geniuses - Aster	2:0
08.11.18	Evil Geniuses - Aster	2:1

Evil Geniuses - Aster: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide