Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: StarLadder Budapest Major

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday


	NRG Esports		Fnatic

	1	2
	2.9	1.35	Watch
	3.41	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.6)	1.34 ↓ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NRG Esports
29.8%

Fnatic
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NRG Esports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NRG Esports's form might have worsened.

Fnatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fnatic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for NRG Esports than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NRG Esports, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fnatic than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fnatic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

NRG Esports - Fnatic Predictions

Users Predictions: Fnatic will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fnatic will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

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Preview

NRG is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fnatic has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

NRG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, NRG has had a series of away games.

Recently, Fnatic has had a series of home games.

Fnatic could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Fnatic will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NRG Esports CS
eSports
25.11.25	M80 - NRG Esports	2:0 ✺
24.11.25	Ninjas in Pyjamas - NRG Esports	0:1 ✺
30.09.25	NRG Esports - Fluxo	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Legacy - NRG Esports	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	GamerLegion - NRG Esports	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Fnatic CS
eSports
25.11.25	Fnatic - Imperial	1:0 ✺
24.11.25	Fnatic - Fluxo	0:1 ✺
24.11.25	Fnatic - RED Canids	1:0 ✺
29.10.25	GamerLegion - Fnatic	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Fnatic - mibr	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW

NRG Esports - Fnatic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide