Match Info

LEAGUE OF LEGENDS: Esports World Cup - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Natus Vincere		Movistar KOI

	1	2
	2.8	1.45	Watch
	2.77	1.42
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.61)	1.44 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natus Vincere
34%

Movistar KOI
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natus Vincere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Movistar KOI has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natus Vincere than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Natus Vincere, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Movistar KOI than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Movistar KOI, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Natus Vincere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Movistar KOI will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Natus Vincere won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Natus Vincere won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natus Vincere LoL
eSports
15.05.26	Natus Vincere - Galions	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	G2 Esports - Natus Vincere	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Natus Vincere - G2 Esports	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	GIANTX - Natus Vincere	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Natus Vincere - Galions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWW
- Movistar KOI LoL
eSports
15.05.26	Movistar KOI - GIANTX	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Karmine Corp - Movistar KOI	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Movistar KOI - G2 Esports	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Movistar KOI - Karmine Corp	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	GIANTX - Movistar KOI	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

eSports
28.03.26	Natus Vincere - Movistar KOI	2:1
20.02.26	Natus Vincere - Movistar KOI	0:2
08.02.26	Natus Vincere - Movistar KOI	0:1
16.08.25	Movistar KOI - Natus Vincere	2:0

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