Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Natus Vincere		mudgolems

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.68	2.1
	1.65	2.21
	1.68	2.2
	1.7	2.05
	1.6	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)	2.19 ↑ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Natus Vincere
57.1%

mudgolems
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Natus Vincere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

mudgolems has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Natus Vincere than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for mudgolems than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Natus Vincere - mudgolems Predictions

Users Predictions: mudgolems will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

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Preview

Natus Vincere is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

mudgolems has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Natus Vincere could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Natus Vincere won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Natus Vincere won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Natus Vincere Dota 2
eSports
29.11.20	Virtus.pro - Natus Vincere	2:1 ✺
27.11.20	Nigma Galaxy - Natus Vincere	2:1 ✺
22.11.20	OG - Natus Vincere	2:0 ✺
01.11.20	Natus Vincere - Team Liquid	1:3 ✺
30.10.20	mudgolems - Natus Vincere	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLLW
- mudgolems eSports
eSports
29.11.20	OG - mudgolems	2:0 ✺
28.11.20	Alliance - mudgolems	2:1 ✺
21.11.20	Virtus.pro - mudgolems	2:0 ✺
19.11.20	Vikin.gg - mudgolems	2:1 ✺
31.10.20	mudgolems - Team Liquid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

eSports
30.10.20	mudgolems - Natus Vincere	0:2
18.10.20	Natus Vincere - mudgolems	0:2

Natus Vincere - mudgolems: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide