Match Info

COUNTER-STRIKE: IEM RIO (BRAZIL) - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 11 November 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Twitch


	Team Spirit		Heroic

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.43	1.5
	2.48	1.55
	2.5	1.5
	2.49	1.51	Watch
	2.65	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.56)	1.49 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Team Spirit
37.1%

Heroic
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Team Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Team Spirit's form might have worsened.

Heroic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heroic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Team Spirit than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Team Spirit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heroic than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heroic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Team Spirit - Heroic Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Spirit will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Heroic will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heroic: 41.6% – 98.4%.

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Preview

Recent matches Team Spirit is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heroic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Team Spirit could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Team Spirit have a series of home games.

Heroic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Team Spirit won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Team Spirit won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team Spirit Dota 2
eSports
08.11.22	Team Liquid - Team Spirit	1:2 ✺
07.11.22	Team Spirit - Sprout	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Team Spirit - Outsiders	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Team Spirit - FURIA Esports	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Team Spirit - Bad News Eagles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLW
- Heroic CS
eSports
07.11.22	Heroic - Team Liquid	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Heroic - Cloud9	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Heroic - Fnatic	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Outsiders - Heroic	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Astralis - Heroic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

eSports
17.08.21	Heroic - Team Spirit	2:0
09.07.21	Team Spirit - Heroic	1:2
19.02.21	Team Spirit - Heroic	2:0
01.12.20	Heroic - Team Spirit	2:0

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