Match Info

DOTA 2: PGL Wallachia Season 8

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Team Spirit		Natus Vincere

	1	2
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.54	2.39
	1.53	2.3
	1.63	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.56)	2.33 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Team Spirit
59.8%

Natus Vincere
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Team Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Natus Vincere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team Spirit than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natus Vincere than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spirit won 4.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, Spirit has had a series of home games.

Recently, Natus Vincere has had a series of away games.

Spirit might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Spirit won 17 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 32:8. (average 1.7:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Spirit won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:5. (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Natus Vincere - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 39.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team Spirit Dota 2
eSports
20.04.26	Team Spirit - GamerLegion	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Team Spirit - Team Falcons	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Team Spirit - Vici Gaming	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Team Spirit - Xtreme Gaming	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Team Yandex - Team Spirit	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL
- Natus Vincere Dota 2
eSports
20.04.26	Team Yandex - Natus Vincere	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Vici Gaming - Natus Vincere	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Xtreme Gaming - Natus Vincere	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Natus Vincere - BetBoom Team	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Heroic - Natus Vincere	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

eSports
18.02.26	Team Spirit - Natus Vincere	1:1
03.02.26	Team Spirit - Natus Vincere	1:0
11.12.25	Team Spirit - Natus Vincere	2:1
15.10.25	Team Spirit - Natus Vincere	1:0
10.07.25	Team Spirit - Natus Vincere	2:0
23.06.25	Team Spirit - Natus Vincere	2:1
09.12.24	Natus Vincere - Team Spirit	0:2

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