Match Info

NHL

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Dajto, Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		Boston Bruins

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.25	3.55	Watch
	1.88	4.3	3.4
	1.9	4.5	3.35
	1.9	4.49	3.29	Watch
	1.8	4	3.2
	1.93	4.46	3.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.79)	4.33 ↓ (4.37)	3.38 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
50.3%

Draw
21.8%

Boston Bruins
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

21.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

22.6%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Boston Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston Bruins than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Boston will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Boston (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Boston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	1. Swayman J. (G)
43. Raddysh D.	73. McAvoy C. (A)
90. Moser J.J.	45. Aspirot J.
86. Kucherov N. (A)	88. Pastrnak D. (A)
21. Point B.	93. Minten F.
59. Guentzel J. (A)	92. Khusnutdinov M.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.	20. Jokiharju H.
27. McDonagh R. (A)	27. Lindholm H. (A)
22. Bjorkstrand O.	71. Arvidsson V.
71. Cirelli A.	18. Zacha P.
93. Goncalves G.	11. Mittelstadt C.
Line 3
78. Lilleberg E.	26. Peeke A.
51. D'Astous C.	91. Zadorov N.
29. Holmberg P.	39. Geekie M.
37. Gourde Y.	28. Lindholm E.
28. Girgensons Z.	81. Eyssimont M.
Line 4
41. Chaffee M.	47. Kastelic M.
20. Paul N.	52. Kuraly S.
10. Perry C.	84. Jeannot T.
Substitutes
31. Johansson J. (G)	70. Korpisalo J. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Sturm M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
09:47, Raddysh D. (2 min),
17:47, Holmberg P. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:47, 0 - 1, Mittelstadt C. (G), Arvidsson V. (A), Zacha P. (A2)
08:43, D'Astous C. (2 min),
12:16, Minten F. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
02:13, 1 - 1, D'Astous C. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A),
04:31, D'Astous C. (2 min),
14:29, 2 - 1, Raddysh D. (G), Moser J.J. (A),
18:27, 3 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Guentzel J. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.

Recent performances by Tampa Bay have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.

Tampa Bay could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Carlile D. (Lower-Body Injury) Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) Hagel B. (Injury) Hedman V. (Personal Reasons) James D. (Leg Injury) Sabourin S. (Injury)

There will not play in Boston: Lohrei M. (Upper-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 58:62. (average 2.9:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:31. (average 3:3.1).

Outrights of NHL for now

Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.52% Boston Bruins: 0.78%

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.79 are the expected chance of winning is 52.71%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Boston Bruins - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 25.71%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
02.04.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins	6:3 ✺
31.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens	1:4 ✺
29.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Nashville Predators	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Ottawa Senators	4:2 ✺
26.03.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Seattle Kraken	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWL
- Boston Bruins
NHL
02.04.26	Florida Panthers - Boston Bruins	2:1 ✺
31.03.26	Boston Bruins - Dallas Stars	6:3 ✺
29.03.26	Columbus Blue Jackets - Boston Bruins	3:4 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Boston Bruins - Minnesota Wild	6:3 ✺
25.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
01.02.26	Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins	6:5 penalties
13.10.25	Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:4
15.03.25	Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:6
08.03.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins	0:4
14.01.25	Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning	6:2
09.01.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins	4:1
27.03.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins	3:1

Tampa Bay Lightning - Boston Bruins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide