The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tampa Bay Lightning 59.1%
Draw 19.9%
Seattle Kraken 20.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.5%
21.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
22%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
Seattle Kraken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Seattle Kraken might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Seattle Kraken could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Tampa Bay Lightning - Seattle Kraken Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Seattle will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Seattle (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
31. Grubauer P. (G)
74. Carlson J.
6. Larsson A. (A)
90. Moser J.J.
29. Dunn V.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
11. Samoskevich M.
71. Cirelli A.
10. Beniers M. (A)
38. Hagel B.
19. McCann J.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.
62. Montour B.
27. McDonagh R. (A)
41. Evans R.
14. Geekie C.
7. Eberle J. (C)
21. Point B.
9. Stephenson C.
59. Guentzel J.
74. McMann B.
Line 3
24. Crozier M.
46. Ottavainen V.
77. Hedman V. (C)
28. Mahura J.
29. Holmberg P.
51. Wright S.
28. Girgensons Z.
27. Catton B.
95. Mikheyev I.
84. Kakko K.
Line 4
78. Lilleberg E.
26. Winterton R.
17. James D.
89. Gaudreau F.
25. Truchon-Viel J.
59. Meyers B.
Substitutes
35. Hildeby D. (G)
35. Daccord J. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.
. Lambert L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:43, 0 - 1, Winterton R. (G), Gaudreau F. (A),
10:00, Wright S. (2 min),
16:53, 1 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Point B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
19:53, Catton B. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:38, 2 - 1, Hagel B. (G), Cirelli A. (A), James D. (A2)
10:14, Holmberg P. (2 min),
13:20, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
15:38, Meyers B. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:47, James D. (2 min),
02:54, 2 - 2, McCann J. (G), Eberle J. (A), Stephenson C. (A2)
09:58, 3 - 2, Mikheyev I. (G),
15:41, 3 - 3, Beniers M. (G), Dunn V. (A),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:07, 4 - 3, Hedman V. (G), Holmberg P. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Tampa Bay carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Tampa Bay: Gourde Y.
(Hip Injury).
Confirmed absences for Seattle: Lindgren R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Melanson J.
(Chest Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Tampa Bay: Hildeby D.
(Injury).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 42:19 (averaging 4.2:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tampa Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 19:11 goals (averaging 3.8:2.2 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.91% Seattle Kraken: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.51%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Seattle Kraken - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.36%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.