Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • NHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday
  • Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Buffalo Sabres Boston Bruins
    Buffalo Sabres Boston Bruins
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.93)
    4.13
    (4.1)
    3.21
    (3.25)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

    • The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Buffalo Sabres
    48%
    Draw
    22.8%
    Boston Bruins
    29.2%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    48.4% 22.8% 28.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    46.3% 23.8% 30.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Buffalo Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Boston Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston Bruins than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    82.4% 11.8% 5.9%
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    Predictions

  • Users Predictions: Buffalo Sabres will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Buffalo Sabres will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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    Lineups

    Line 1
    34. USALyon A. (G)
      1. USASwayman J. (G)
    23. USASamuelsson M.
    73. USAMcAvoy C. (A)
    26. SwedenDahlin R. (C)
    45. CanadaAspirot J.
    89. USATuch A. (A)
    88. CzechPastrnak D. (A)
    72. USAThompson T. (A)
    28. SwedenLindholm E.
    19. CanadaKrebs P.
    39. CanadaGeekie M.
    Line 2
    25. CanadaPower O.
    43. USAHarris J.
      4. CanadaByram B.
    27. SwedenLindholm H. (A)
    22. CanadaQuinn J.
    71. SwedenArvidsson V.
    71. CanadaMcLeod R.
    18. CzechZacha P.
    17. USAZucker J.
    11. USAMittelstadt C.
    Line 3
    21. CanadaTimmins C.
    26. USAPeeke A.
    64. CanadaStanley L.
    91. RussiaZadorov N.
    91. USADoan J.
    92. RussiaKhusnutdinov M.
    86. SwedenOstlund N.
    93. CanadaMinten F.
      6. CanadaBenson Z.
    75. GermanyReichel L.
    Line 4
    29. CanadaMalenstyn B.
    47. USAKastelic M.
    48. CanadaKozak T.
    52. USAKuraly S.
    12. USAGreenway J.
    84. CanadaJeannot T.
    Substitutes
      1. FinlandLuukkonen U. (G)
    70. FinlandKorpisalo J. (G)
    Coaches
      . CanadaRuff L.
      . GermanySturm M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Period (1 - 0)
    • 02:11, Kastelic M. (2 min),
    • 03:35, 1 - 0, Dahlin R. (G), Zucker J. (A), Thompson T. (A2)
    • 06:53, Ostlund N. (2 min),
    • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
    • 05:25, Lindholm H. (2 min),
    • 09:24, 1 - 1, Lindholm E. (G),
    • 13:35, McLeod R. (2 min),
    • 15:36, Khusnutdinov M. (2 min),
    • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
    • 04:59, Tuch A. (2 min),
    • Overtime (0 - 1)
    • 09:14, 1 - 2, Pastrnak D. (G), Lindholm H. (A),

    Preview

  • Buffalo Sabres leads series 3-1. Fifth leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 3.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Buffalo might have a minor edge in this game.
  • There will not play in Buffalo: Carrick S. (Arm Injury) Danforth J. (Knee Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems) Norris J. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Buffalo: Kozak T. (Injury) Zucker J. (Injury)
  • There are questionable in Boston: Arvidsson V. (Upper-Body Injury) Zadorov N. (Injury)
  • We predict that Buffalo will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buffalo won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:62. (average 3:3.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Buffalo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:37. (average 3.1:3.4).
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    Last Results with these Odds

    Boston Bruins - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.76%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Buffalo Sabres
    NHL
    26.04.26 Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres 1:6
    23.04.26 Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres 1:3
    21.04.26 Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins 2:4
    19.04.26 Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins 4:3
    15.04.26 Buffalo Sabres - Dallas Stars 3:4 penalties
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3
    WWLWL
    - Boston Bruins
    NHL
    26.04.26 Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres 1:6
    23.04.26 Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres 1:3
    21.04.26 Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins 2:4
    19.04.26 Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins 4:3
    14.04.26 Boston Bruins - New Jersey Devils 4:0
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8
    LLWLW
    Latest Head to Head
    NHL
    26.04.26 Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres 1:6
    23.04.26 Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres 1:3
    21.04.26 Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins 2:4
    19.04.26 Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins 4:3
    25.03.26 Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins 3:4 OT
    27.12.25 Buffalo Sabres - Boston Bruins 4:1
    30.10.25 Boston Bruins - Buffalo Sabres 4:3 OT