Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 3

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fortuna Sittard		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.33	1.57	Watch
	5.00	4.33	1.60
	5.40	4.40	1.52
	5.40	4.55	1.61
	4.86	4.27	1.63	Watch
	5.35	4.45	1.56
	5.89	4.41	1.58	Watch
	4.80	4.30	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (4.16)	4.38 ↑ (4.07)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
18.1%

Draw
21.7%

AZ Alkmaar
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

23.2%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

22.7%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (C) 6. van Ottele S. 23. Brittijn P. 28. Hubner J. 2. Wylin S. 22. Zand S. 20. Michut E. 15. de Groot N. 10. Romeny O. 9. Descotte A. 25. Zeefuik L.	28. De Busser J. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 4. Schouten L. 5. Chavez Garcia M. 21. Kwakman D. 6. Koopmeiners P. (C) 7. Weslley Patati 10. Smit K. 11. Daal R. 9. Meerdink M.
Substitutes
8. Dahlhaus J. 38. Gbemou M. 3. Guth R. 52. Ihattaren M. 33. Kaylen (G) 1. Koopmans L. (G) 5. Oukili Y. 12. Pinto I. 44. Stockbrink D.	8. Clasie J. 13. De Grand S. 75. de Wit H. 19. Hornkamp J. 31. Ichihara R. 45. Kovacs B. 2. Maikuma S. 24. Oufkir A. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 14. Stengs C. 23. van Duijl B. 12. Verhulst H. (G)
Coaches
Buijs D.	Echteld L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Romeny O. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Weslley Patati ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
46', Kwakman D. ↓, Hornkamp J. ↑,
46', Descotte A. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Hornkamp J. ⚽,
66', de Groot N. ↓, Dahlhaus J. ↑,
66', Zand S. ↓, Ihattaren M. ↑,
67', van Ottele S. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
69', Smit K. ↓, Clasie J. ↑,
76', Wylin S. ↓, Guth R. ↑,
86', Dijkstra E. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
86', Meerdink M. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
90+3', Oufkir A. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Hornkamp J. ⚽, Oufkir A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.

Fortuna Sittard has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AZ is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, AZ is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Simons S. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Injury) Hornkamp J. (Ankle Injury) Kasius D. (Groin Injury) Resink S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Marquez I. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:46. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.3:2.2).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

AZ Alkmaar: 4.19% Sittard: 0.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18:6	12	19
6	Sittard	7	4	1	2	13:14	-1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
15.08.26	Fortuna Sittard - Cambuur	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Fortuna Sittard - APOEL	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Metz - Fortuna Sittard	3:1 ✺
17.07.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Fortuna Sittard	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWLL
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
15.08.26	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
02.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	AZ Alkmaar - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:2 ✺
22.07.26	AZ Alkmaar - Genk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	2:0
21.12.25	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	4:3
23.02.25	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	1:0
06.10.24	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	1:0
17.02.24	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	1:2
01.10.23	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	4:0
16.04.23	Fortuna Sittard - AZ Alkmaar	0:3

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