Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Utrecht		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.7	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.60	2.30
	2.72	3.65	2.42
	2.84	3.71	2.53
	2.7	3.66	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.45
	2.74	3.68	2.47	Watch
	2.65	3.55	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.66)	3.64 ↓ (3.73)	2.44 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
34.9%

Draw
26.1%

AZ Alkmaar
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

25.3%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	17.6%	76.5%

Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). AZ will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 23. Vesterlund N. 2. Horemans S. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 92. Zagre A. 53. Pohl F. 6. Offerhaus G. 11. Alarcon A. 20. de Wit D. (C) 10. Cathline Y. 18. Stepanov A.	28. De Busser J. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 16. Schouten L. 5. Chavez Garcia M. 21. Kwakman D. 6. Koopmeiners P. (C) 7. Weslley Patati 10. Smit K. 11. Daal R. 35. Meerdink M.
Substitutes
15. Blake A. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 3. Didden M. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 14. Iqbal Z. 32. Kloosterboer P. 9. Min D. 21. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 47. Owen E. C. 30. Paredes K. 34. van den Berg D. 8. van Overeem J.	75. de Wit H. 34. de Wit M. 18. Ichihara R. 45. Kovacs B. 2. Maikuma S. 24. Oufkir A. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 33. Sin M. 14. Stengs C. 23. van Duijl B. 27. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G)
Coaches
Correia A.	Echteld L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Stepanov A. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Koopmeiners P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Didden M. ↑,
46', Pohl F. 🟨,
47', 0 - 2, Weslley Patati ⚽, Smit K. (A),
49', 0 - 3, Meerdink M. ⚽, Chavez Garcia M. (A),
54', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
55', de Wit D. ↓, Paredes K. ↑,
56', Weslley Patati 🟨,
60', Echteld L. 🟨,
62', 1 - 3, Stepanov A. ⚽, Cathline Y. (A),
62', Cathline Y. ↓, van den Berg D. ↑,
62', Pohl F. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
66', Weslley Patati ↓, Stengs C. ↑,
69', Zagre A. 🟨,
80', Zagre A. ↓, Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↑,
80', Smit K. ↓, Ichihara R. ↑,
81', Daal R. ↓, Oufkir A. ↑,
84', 1 - 4, Oufkir A. ⚽, Chavez Garcia M. (A),
85', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Maikuma S. ↑,
89', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 2.

Utrecht has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

AZ is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Utrecht: Agougil O. (Injury) Engwanda A. (Hamstring Injury) Jensen V. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury) Ohio N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Injury) Hornkamp J. (Ankle Injury) Kasius D. (Groin Injury) Natali A. (Inactive) Sin M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Utrecht: Horemans S. (Injury)

We predict that AZ will win today's game, with odds of 2.38.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:37. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

AZ Alkmaar: 4.19% Utrecht: 0.28%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11:24	-13	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
09.08.26	Groningen - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Utrecht - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Cambuur - Utrecht	1:0 ✺
07.07.26	Utrecht - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Utrecht - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
08.08.26	AZ Alkmaar - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
Dutch Super Cup
02.08.26	PSV Eindhoven - AZ Alkmaar	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	AZ Alkmaar - Olympiacos Piraeus	3:2 ✺
22.07.26	AZ Alkmaar - Genk	4:0 ✺
18.07.26	Zulte Waregem - AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
01.03.26	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	2:0
26.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	4:1
18.01.25	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	0:0
29.09.24	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	1:2
19.05.24	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	3:3
03.12.23	Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar	1:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
07.02.23	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	1:2 ET

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