The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Feyenoord 55%
Draw 22.9%
AZ Alkmaar 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.9%
24.2%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.2%
24.1%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Feyenoord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 6 - 50%). AZ will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ernst T. (G) 26. Read G. 6. St. Juste J. 35. Marmol M. 16. Lopez J. 8. Zechiel G. 34. Vanhoutte C. 28. Targhalline O. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 19. Nacho 10. Valente L. (C)
28. De Busser J. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 4. Schouten L. 5. Chavez Garcia M. 8. Clasie J. (C) 14. Stengs C. 6. Koopmeiners P. 24. Oufkir A. 9. Meerdink M. 11. Daal R.
Substitutes
39. Bossin L. (G) 20. Deijl M. 50. Delianidis T. 27. Diarra G. 33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 24. Kraaijeveld T. 57. Schaken J. 65. Slory D. 14. Steijn S. 22. van den Elshout T. 32. Wessels T. 36. Zinhagel J.
45. Bergraaf J. 27. Bouziane W. 17. Byskov V. 34. de Wit M. 29. Hoedt W. 31. Ichihara R. 30. Kasius D. 18. Kovacs B. 21. Kwakman D. 2. Maikuma S. 1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 7. Weslley Patati
Coaches
van Bronckhorst G.
Echteld L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', Schouten L. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Nacho ⚽,
23', Daal R. 🟨,
43', (Penalty overturned),
45+2', Targhalline O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 2 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Vanhoutte C. (A),
67', Goes W. 🟨,
68', Daal R. ↓, Weslley Patati ↑,
68', Dijkstra E. ↓, Kasius D. ↑,
77', Zechiel G. ↓, van den Elshout T. ↑,
80', Clasie J. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
89', Nacho ↓, Diarra G. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Europa League (Qualification: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 3.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
In this matchup, Feyenoord is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Feyenoord: Beelen T.
(Broken Leg)
Bos J.
(Knee Injury)
Moder J.
(Knee Injury)
Nieuwkoop B.
(Knee Injury)
Smal G.
(Ankle Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Leg Injury).
Confirmed absences for AZ: Resink S.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Feyenoord: Borges G.
(Knock).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Feyenoord has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:23 (averaging 1.8:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Feyenoord against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 16:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).