Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN 2, ESPN


	Fortuna Sittard		Twente

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.75	1.45	Watch
	5.75	5.00	1.47
	6.40	4.90	1.41
	6.34	5.10	1.47
	6.3	5.1	1.42	Watch
	6.25	4.90	1.45
	5.93	4.90	1.50	Watch
	5.60	5.00	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.04 ↓ (6.1)	4.96 ↓ (5)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
15.7%

Draw
19.1%

Twente
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

18.9%

65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

18.2%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Twente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Twente than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Fortuna Sittard - Twente Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Twente will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Branderhorst M. (G) 12. Pinto I. (C) 6. van Ottele S. 3. Guth R. 28. Hubner J. 23. Brittijn P. 20. Michut E. 22. Zand S. 52. Ihattaren M. 25. Zeefuik L. 9. Descotte A.	16. Drommel J. (G) 28. van Rooij B. 3. Propper R. (C) 4. Nijstad R. 29. Adelgaard A. 6. Zerrouki R. 8. Weidmann D. 11. Rots D. 10. Taha Y. 7. Pjaca M. 9. Weghorst W.
Substitutes
39. Buyukhan G. 15. de Groot N. 38. Gbemou M. 33. Kaylen (G) 1. Koopmans L. (G) 7. Peterson K. 10. Romeny O. 14. Simons S. 24. Sinkgraven D. 2. Wylin S.	18. Bawuah J. 31. Gerritsen Y. (G) 14. Hlynsson K. 24. Kurowski K. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 2. Rosiak M. 37. Unuvar N. 20. van den Belt T. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L.
Coaches
Buijs D.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Descotte A. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Propper R. ⚽, Weghorst W. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Pjaca M. ↓, Hlynsson K. ↑,
67', Weidmann D. ↓, van den Belt T. ↑,
75', van Rooij B. 🟨,
75', Zeefuik L. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
81', Rots D. ↓, Vennegoor of Hesselink L. ↑,
84', Pinto I. ↓, Wylin S. ↑,
84', Ihattaren M. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
90+1', Zand S. ↓, Sinkgraven D. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - Eredivisie Conference League - Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 0.

Fortuna Sittard is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Twente is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Twente could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Fortuna Sittard has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Twente has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Twente holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Marquez I. (Injury) Oukili Y. (Groin Injury).

Confirmed absences for Twente: Lemkin S. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Fortuna Sittard has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:28 (averaging 1.1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fortuna Sittard against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 9:14 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Twente	8	5	2	1	16:8	8	17
6	Sittard	8	4	2	2	14:15	-1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Twente - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.61%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Genk - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
19.09.26	Willem II - Fortuna Sittard	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:5 ✺
06.09.26	ADO Den Haag - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Groningen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.6 WWLWW
- FC Twente
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Twente - Werder Bremen	7:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.26	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Twente - ADO Den Haag	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Twente - Telstar	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Groningen - Twente	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2
26.09.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	3:2
05.04.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	1:1
23.11.24	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2
06.04.24	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	2:0
08.10.23	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	0:3
11.03.23	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	0:3

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