Match Info

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday


	AZ Alkmaar		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.00	8.50
	1.33	5.50	8.25
	1.33	5.30	9.00
	1.32	5.67	8.58
	1.33	5.4	8.6	Watch
	1.30	5.80	8.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	5.45 ↑ (5.4)	8.59 ↓ (8.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
71.7%

Draw
17.3%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

17.6%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

17.2%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Hapoel Beer Sheva have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

AZ Alkmaar - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

AZ has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hapoel Beer Sheva has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Hapoel Beer Sheva has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The betting markets point to AZ as the clear and undisputed favorite.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

AZ Alkmaar: 1.82% H. Beer Sheva: 0.21%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	H. Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sunderland - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
11.09.26	AZ Alkmaar - Willem II	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTWW
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
19.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.09.26	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Tel Aviv	1:4 ✺
02.09.26	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Hapoel Haifa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWLT

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