Match Info

NCAA

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Arizona State Sun Devils		Baylor Bears

	1	2
	1.54	2.4
	1.56	2.36
	1.62	2.42
	1.54	2.4	Watch
	1.59	2.35
	1.59	2.45
	1.49	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.5)	2.39 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arizona State Sun Devils
60.5%

Baylor Bears
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arizona State Sun Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Baylor Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Arizona State Sun Devils - Baylor Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (3 - 14)
05:13, Smith C. (Field Goal),
05:47, Morris R. (Touchdown),
05:47, Armstrong R. (Extra Point),
11:59, Lagway D. (Touchdown),
11:59, Armstrong R. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (10 - 10)
00:50, Lagway D. (Touchdown),
00:50, Armstrong R. (Extra Point),
05:01, Smith C. (Field Goal),
13:09, Boley C. (Touchdown),
13:09, Smith C. (Extra Point),
14:56, Armstrong R. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 21)
04', (Touchdown),
04', (Extra Point),
06', (Touchdown),
06', (Extra Point),
11', (Field Goal),
11', (Touchdown),
11', (Extra Point),
11', (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 10)
04', (Field Goal),
09', (Touchdown),
10', (Extra Point),
12', (Field Goal),

Preview

Arizona State could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Arizona State is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Arizona State has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:24.

Outrights of NCAA College Football for now

Baylor: 0.34% Arizona State: 0.34%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arizona State Sun Devils football
NCAA College Football
19.09.26	Kansas Jayhawks - Arizona State Sun Devils	17:24 ✺
12.09.26	Texas A&M Aggies - Arizona State Sun Devils	48:20 ✺
05.09.26	Arizona State Sun Devils - Morgan State Bears	70:7 ✺
31.12.25	Duke Blue Devils - Arizona State Sun Devils	42:39 ✺
28.11.25	Arizona State Sun Devils - Arizona Wildcats	7:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL
- Baylor Bears football
NCAA College Football
26.09.26	Baylor Bears - Colorado Buffaloes	23:13 ✺
19.09.26	Baylor Bears - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	36:19 ✺
12.09.26	Baylor Bears - Prairie View A&M Panthers	44:3 ✺
05.09.26	Auburn Tigers - Baylor Bears	17:16 ✺
29.11.25	Baylor Bears - Houston Cougars	24:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
20.09.25	Baylor Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	24:27

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