Match Info

UFL - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	05:00	ESPN 2
Germany	21:00	Sportdigital1+


	Birmingham Stallions		Houston Gamblers

	1	2
	1.7	2.2
	1.54	2.4
	1.59	2.38
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.57	2.32
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)	2.33 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Stallions
59.6%

Houston Gamblers
40.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Stallions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Houston Gamblers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Stallions than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Gamblers than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Birmingham Stallions - Houston Gamblers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 3)
2nd Quarter (0 - 14)
3rd Quarter (7 - 6)
4th Quarter (6 - 3)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Birmingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 126:109. (average 25.2:21.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:44. (average 17.5:22).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Stallions
UFL
23.05.26	Columbus Aviators - Birmingham Stallions	36:29 ✺
17.05.26	Birmingham Stallions - Columbus Aviators	14:3 ✺
09.05.26	Birmingham Stallions - Dallas Renegades	21:17 OT ✺
03.05.26	Orlando Storm - Birmingham Stallions	17:20 ✺
24.04.26	Birmingham Stallions - DC Defenders	28:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL
- Houston Gamblers
UFL
24.05.26	Houston Gamblers - St. Louis BattleHawks	15:21 ✺
16.05.26	St. Louis BattleHawks - Houston Gamblers	16:23 ✺
10.05.26	Houston Gamblers - Orlando Storm	23:24 ✺
01.05.26	Columbus Aviators - Houston Gamblers	24:17 ✺
26.04.26	Houston Gamblers - Columbus Aviators	17:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UFL
05.04.26	Houston Gamblers - Birmingham Stallions	22:20
USFL
11.06.23	Houston Gamblers - Birmingham Stallions	15:38
13.05.23	Birmingham Stallions - Houston Gamblers	20:27
11.06.22	Birmingham Stallions - Houston Gamblers	15:17
23.04.22	Houston Gamblers - Birmingham Stallions	28:33

Birmingham Stallions - Houston Gamblers