Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 5

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Soldier Field (Chicago, IL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL
Usa	NFL Game Pass


	Chicago Bears		Carolina Panthers

	1	2
	1.49	2.7	Watch
	1.5	2.65
	1.48	2.74	Watch
	1.49	2.79
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.5	2.75
	1.49	2.7
	1.48	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	2.72 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Bears
64.6%

Carolina Panthers
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Carolina Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Bears than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Panthers than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Chicago Bears - Carolina Panthers Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Carolina will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
06:06, Hubbard C. (Touchdown),
06:06, Pineiro E. (Extra Point),
09:16, Moore D. (Touchdown),
09:16, Santos C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (20 - 0)
04:16, Johnson R. (Touchdown),
04:16, Santos C. (Extra Point),
12:46, Swift D. (Touchdown),
12:46, Santos C. (Extra Point),
14:36, Moore D. (Touchdown),
14:36, Santos C. (Missed Extra Point),
14:56, Pineiro E. (Missed Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 3)
08:32, Santos C. (Field Goal),
13:46, Pineiro E. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (6 - 0)
10:37, Johnson R. (Touchdown),
10:37, (2-Point Conversion Failed),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chicago won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Chicago will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Chicago won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 133:132 (average 19:18.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Chicago won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 69:61 (average 17.3:15.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Bears
NFL
29.09.24	Chicago Bears - Los Angeles Rams	24:18 ✺
22.09.24	Indianapolis Colts - Chicago Bears	21:16 ✺
15.09.24	Houston Texans - Chicago Bears	19:13 ✺
08.09.24	Chicago Bears - Tennessee Titans	24:17 ✺
22.08.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Chicago Bears	21:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Carolina Panthers
NFL
29.09.24	Carolina Panthers - Cincinnati Bengals	24:34 ✺
22.09.24	Las Vegas Raiders - Carolina Panthers	22:36 ✺
15.09.24	Carolina Panthers - Los Angeles Chargers	3:26 ✺
08.09.24	New Orleans Saints - Carolina Panthers	47:10 ✺
24.08.24	Buffalo Bills - Carolina Panthers	26:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
09.11.23	Chicago Bears - Carolina Panthers	16:13
18.10.20	Carolina Panthers - Chicago Bears	16:23
08.08.19	Chicago Bears - Carolina Panthers	13:23
22.10.17	Chicago Bears - Carolina Panthers	17:3
05.10.14	Carolina Panthers - Chicago Bears	31:24
09.08.13	Carolina Panthers - Chicago Bears	24:17
28.10.12	Chicago Bears - Carolina Panthers	23:22

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