Match Info

UFL - Round 6

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	DC Defenders		Dallas Renegades

	1	2
	1.45	2.8
	1.48	2.6
	1.56	2.19	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.49	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.67)	2.53 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DC Defenders
62.8%

Dallas Renegades
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DC Defenders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in DC Defenders's performance.

Dallas Renegades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dallas Renegades might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC Defenders than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Renegades than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

DC Defenders - Dallas Renegades Predictions

Users Predictions: DC Defenders will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
2nd Quarter (17 - 0)
3rd Quarter (0 - 6)
4th Quarter (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC Defenders won 3.

DC Defenders is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Dallas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

DC Defenders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dallas has had a series of home games.

DC Defenders could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that DC Defenders will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, DC Defenders won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 182:181. (average 30.3:30.2).

Including home matches between the teams, DC Defenders won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 116:120. (average 29:30).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DC Defenders
UFL
24.04.26	Birmingham Stallions - DC Defenders	28:45 ✺
18.04.26	DC Defenders - St. Louis BattleHawks	28:22 ✺
11.04.26	DC Defenders - Houston Gamblers	45:7 ✺
03.04.26	Columbus Aviators - DC Defenders	26:44 ✺
28.03.26	St. Louis BattleHawks - DC Defenders	16:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL
- Dallas Renegades
UFL
26.04.26	Dallas Renegades - Louisville Kings	25:47 ✺
17.04.26	Columbus Aviators - Dallas Renegades	28:14 ✺
12.04.26	Dallas Renegades - Columbus Aviators	28:23 ✺
07.04.26	Dallas Renegades - St. Louis BattleHawks	31:15 ✺
28.03.26	Dallas Renegades - Houston Gamblers	36:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UFL
18.05.25	DC Defenders - Dallas Renegades	33:30
27.04.25	Dallas Renegades - DC Defenders	33:37
02.06.24	DC Defenders - Dallas Renegades	31:32
13.04.24	Dallas Renegades - DC Defenders	28:29
XFL
13.05.23	DC Defenders - Dallas Renegades	26:35
16.04.23	DC Defenders - Dallas Renegades	26:23

DC Defenders - Dallas Renegades