Match Info

NFL - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Ford Field (Detroit, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	RTL
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Detroit Lions		Cleveland Browns

	1	2
	1.18	5	Watch
	1.16	4.87	Watch
	1.2	5.04
	1.29	3.50	Watch
	1.18	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.2)	4.68 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Detroit Lions
79.6%

Cleveland Browns
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Cleveland Browns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Detroit Lions - Cleveland Browns Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Cleveland will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Detroit: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Detroit Lions will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:17

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
09:24, Judkins Q. (Touchdown),
09:24, Szmyt A. (Extra Point),
11:40, Gibbs J. (Touchdown),
11:40, Bates J. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (13 - 0)
00:43, Bates J. (Field Goal),
12:00, St. Brown A. (Touchdown),
12:00, Bates J. (Extra Point),
14:52, Bates J. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
08:16, Szmyt A. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (14 - 0)
01:20, Raymond K. (Touchdown),
01:20, Bates J. (Extra Point),
10:56, St. Brown A. (Touchdown),
10:56, Bates J. (Extra Point),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Detroit is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 131:145. (average 16.4:18.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 68:71. (average 17:17.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit Lions
NFL
22.09.25	Baltimore Ravens - Detroit Lions	30:38 ✺
14.09.25	Detroit Lions - Chicago Bears	52:21 ✺
07.09.25	Green Bay Packers - Detroit Lions	27:13 ✺
23.08.25	Detroit Lions - Houston Texans	7:26 ✺
16.08.25	Detroit Lions - Miami Dolphins	17:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLL
- Cleveland Browns
NFL
21.09.25	Cleveland Browns - Green Bay Packers	13:10 ✺
14.09.25	Baltimore Ravens - Cleveland Browns	41:17 ✺
07.09.25	Cleveland Browns - Cincinnati Bengals	16:17 ✺
23.08.25	Cleveland Browns - Los Angeles Rams	19:17 ✺
16.08.25	Philadelphia Eagles - Cleveland Browns	13:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
21.11.21	Cleveland Browns - Detroit Lions	13:10
29.08.19	Cleveland Browns - Detroit Lions	20:16
30.08.18	Detroit Lions - Cleveland Browns	17:35
12.11.17	Detroit Lions - Cleveland Browns	38:24
09.08.14	Detroit Lions - Cleveland Browns	13:12
13.10.13	Cleveland Browns - Detroit Lions	17:31
15.08.13	Cleveland Browns - Detroit Lions	24:6

Upcoming Matches