Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2


	Florida Gators		Tennessee Volunteers

	1	2
	2.5	1.56
	2.36	1.56
	2.63	1.51
	2.21	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.2)	1.56 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florida Gators
39.3%

Tennessee Volunteers
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florida Gators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Tennessee Volunteers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Gators than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tennessee Volunteers than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Florida Gators - Tennessee Volunteers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:31

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 14)
03:32, Aguilar J. (Touchdown),
03:32, Gilbert M. (Extra Point),
09:27, Bishop D. (Touchdown),
09:27, Gilbert M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 17)
02:52, Bishop D. (Touchdown),
02:52, Gilbert M. (Extra Point),
05:46, Thomas S. (Touchdown),
05:46, Gilbert M. (Extra Point),
14:58, Gilbert M. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 0)
12:56, Smack T. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (8 - 0)
06:45, Baugh J. (Touchdown),
06:45, Livingston T. (Two-Point Conversion),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Florida won 3.

Florida is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tennessee has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tennessee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tennessee is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Florida won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 389:265. (average 29.9:20.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Florida won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 186:97. (average 31:16.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florida Gators football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	Ole Miss Rebels - Florida Gators	34:24 ✺
08.11.25	Kentucky Wildcats - Florida Gators	38:7 ✺
01.11.25	Florida Gators - Georgia Bulldogs	20:24 ✺
18.10.25	Florida Gators - Mississippi State Bulldogs	23:21 ✺
11.10.25	Texas A&M Aggies - Florida Gators	34:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Tennessee Volunteers football
NCAA College Football
15.11.25	Tennessee Volunteers - New Mexico State Aggies	42:9
01.11.25	Tennessee Volunteers - Oklahoma Sooners	27:33 ✺
25.10.25	Kentucky Wildcats - Tennessee Volunteers	34:56 ✺
18.10.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - Tennessee Volunteers	37:20 ✺
11.10.25	Tennessee Volunteers - Arkansas Razorbacks	34:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
12.10.24	Tennessee Volunteers - Florida Gators	23:17 OT
16.09.23	Florida Gators - Tennessee Volunteers	29:16
24.09.22	Tennessee Volunteers - Florida Gators	38:33
25.09.21	Florida Gators - Tennessee Volunteers	38:14
05.12.20	Tennessee Volunteers - Florida Gators	19:31
21.09.19	Florida Gators - Tennessee Volunteers	34:3
22.09.18	Tennessee Volunteers - Florida Gators	21:47

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