Match Info

UFL - Round 6

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Houston Roughnecks		Memphis Showboats

	1	2
	1.53	2.55
	1.41	2.85
	1.56	2.46
	1.45	2.71	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.48	2.75
	1.41	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.39)	2.68 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Roughnecks
64.6%

Memphis Showboats
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.8%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Roughnecks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Memphis Showboats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Roughnecks than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis Showboats than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Houston Roughnecks - Memphis Showboats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
2nd Quarter (3 - 14)
3rd Quarter (11 - 0)
4th Quarter (0 - 6)

Preview

Houston Roughnecks has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Memphis is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Memphis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Houston Roughnecks might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Houston Roughnecks won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:54. (average 14:18).

Including home match between the teams, Houston Roughnecks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Roughnecks
UFL
27.04.25	San Antonio Brahmas - Houston Roughnecks	3:27 ✺
19.04.25	Houston Roughnecks - Birmingham Stallions	16:23 ✺
12.04.25	Memphis Showboats - Houston Roughnecks	17:18 ✺
06.04.25	Dallas Renegades - Houston Roughnecks	11:9 ✺
28.03.25	Houston Roughnecks - St. Louis BattleHawks	6:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLL
- Memphis Showboats
UFL
25.04.25	Birmingham Stallions - Memphis Showboats	20:24 OT ✺
18.04.25	Michigan Panthers - Memphis Showboats	27:9 ✺
12.04.25	Memphis Showboats - Houston Roughnecks	17:18 ✺
05.04.25	DC Defenders - Memphis Showboats	17:12 ✺
30.03.25	Memphis Showboats - Michigan Panthers	12:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UFL
12.04.25	Memphis Showboats - Houston Roughnecks	17:18
02.06.24	Memphis Showboats - Houston Roughnecks	19:12
31.03.24	Houston Roughnecks - Memphis Showboats	12:18

Houston Roughnecks - Memphis Showboats