Match Info

NFL - Round 17

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: SoFi Stadium (Inglewood, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9, DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN
Iceland	SÝN Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event
Uruguay	DAZN
World	NFL Game Pass


	Los Angeles Chargers		Houston Texans

	1	2
	1.83	2	Watch
	1.81	1.95	Watch
	1.79	2.01	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.83	1.98
	1.83	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.05)	1.99 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Angeles Chargers
52.3%

Houston Texans
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles Chargers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles Chargers's performance.

Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Houston Texans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Chargers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Los Angeles Chargers - Houston Texans Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. LA Chargers will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Houston will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Houston Texans will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 14)
01:40, Higgins J. (Touchdown),
01:40, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
05:43, Noel J. (Touchdown),
05:43, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 0)
08:47, Dicker C. (Field Goal),
14:46, Dicker C. (Missed Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 3)
08:56, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
14:47, Gadsden O. (Touchdown),
14:47, Dicker C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (6 - 3)
08:27, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
11:23, Hampton O. (Touchdown),
11:23, Dicker C. (Missed Extra Point),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LA Chargers won 2.

LA Chargers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Houston is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that LA Chargers will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, LA Chargers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 144:168. (average 24:28).

Including home matches between the teams, LA Chargers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 48:58. (average 24:29).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles Chargers
NFL
21.12.25	Dallas Cowboys - Los Angeles Chargers	17:34 ✺
14.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Los Angeles Chargers	13:16 ✺
08.12.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Philadelphia Eagles	22:19 OT ✺
30.11.25	Los Angeles Chargers - Las Vegas Raiders	31:14 ✺
16.11.25	Jacksonville Jaguars - Los Angeles Chargers	35:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWL
- Houston Texans
NFL
21.12.25	Houston Texans - Las Vegas Raiders	23:21 ✺
14.12.25	Houston Texans - Arizona Cardinals	40:20 ✺
07.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans	10:20 ✺
30.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	16:20 ✺
20.11.25	Houston Texans - Buffalo Bills	23:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
11.01.25	Houston Texans - Los Angeles Chargers	32:12
02.10.22	Houston Texans - Los Angeles Chargers	24:34
26.12.21	Houston Texans - Los Angeles Chargers	41:29
22.09.19	Los Angeles Chargers - Houston Texans	20:27
27.11.16	Houston Texans - Los Angeles Chargers	13:21
09.09.13	Los Angeles Chargers - Houston Texans	28:31

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