Match Info

NFL - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 2
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Finland	Ruutu+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN, Sky Sports Main Event
World	NFL Game Pass


	Kansas City Chiefs		Houston Texans

	1	2
	1.43	2.9	Watch
	1.41	2.82	Watch
	1.46	2.88
	1.70	2.11	Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.44	2.9
	1.44	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	2.76 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kansas City Chiefs
65.3%

Houston Texans
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kansas City Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Houston Texans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kansas City Chiefs than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Texans than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Houston will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Houston Texans will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 3)
10:42, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),
2nd Quarter (0 - 7)
05:36, Marks W. (Touchdown),
05:36, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
13:57, Butker H. (Missed Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (10 - 0)
05:08, Hunt K. (Touchdown),
05:08, Butker H. (Extra Point),
13:10, Butker H. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 10)
08:04, Ogunbowale D. (Touchdown),
08:04, Fairbairn K. (Extra Point),
14:30, Fairbairn K. (Field Goal),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 5.

Kansas City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Houston is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kansas City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 327:245. (average 27.3:20.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 186:148. (average 26.6:21.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
27.11.25	Dallas Cowboys - Kansas City Chiefs	31:28 ✺
23.11.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Indianapolis Colts	23:20 OT ✺
16.11.25	Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs	22:19 ✺
02.11.25	Buffalo Bills - Kansas City Chiefs	28:21 ✺
27.10.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Washington Commanders	28:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- Houston Texans
NFL
30.11.25	Indianapolis Colts - Houston Texans	16:20 ✺
20.11.25	Houston Texans - Buffalo Bills	23:19 ✺
16.11.25	Tennessee Titans - Houston Texans	13:16 ✺
09.11.25	Houston Texans - Jacksonville Jaguars	36:29 ✺
02.11.25	Houston Texans - Denver Broncos	15:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
18.01.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans	23:14
21.12.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans	27:19
18.12.22	Houston Texans - Kansas City Chiefs	24:30 OT
10.09.20	Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans	34:20
12.01.20	Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans	51:31
13.10.19	Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans	24:31
09.08.18	Kansas City Chiefs - Houston Texans	10:17

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