Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Louisville Cardinals		Virginia Cavaliers

	1	2
	1.41	3
	1.4	3
	1.39	2.89
	1.44	2.95
	1.36	2.96	Watch
	1.4	2.86
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)	2.93 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisville Cardinals
67.7%

Virginia Cavaliers
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisville Cardinals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Virginia Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Louisville Cardinals - Virginia Cavaliers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:27

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
08:48, Platt D. (Touchdown),
08:48, Bettridge W. (Extra Point),
14:59, Moss M. (Touchdown),
14:59, Ranvier C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
08:04, Ross C. (Touchdown),
08:04, Bettridge W. (Extra Point),
11:34, Bell C. (Touchdown),
11:34, Ranvier C. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 10)
08:35, Robinson K. (Touchdown),
08:35, Bettridge W. (Extra Point),
14:30, Bettridge W. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (10 - 0)
05:19, Bell C. (Touchdown),
05:19, Ranvier C. (Extra Point),
13:52, Ranvier C. (Field Goal),
Overtime (3 - 6)
01', Ranvier C. (Field Goal),
01', Taylor J. (Touchdown),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville won 3.

Virginia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Virginia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Virginia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Louisville is the team to beat.

We predict that Louisville will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Louisville won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 299:274. (average 27.2:24.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Louisville won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 168:131. (average 33.6:26.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisville Cardinals football
NCAA College Football
27.09.25	Pittsburgh Panthers - Louisville Cardinals	27:34 ✺
20.09.25	Louisville Cardinals - Bowling Green Falcons	40:17 ✺
05.09.25	Louisville Cardinals - James Madison Dukes	28:14 ✺
30.08.25	Louisville Cardinals - Eastern Kentucky Colonels	51:17 ✺
31.12.24	Washington Huskies - Louisville Cardinals	34:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW
- Virginia Cavaliers football
NCAA College Football
26.09.25	Virginia Cavaliers - Florida State Seminoles	46:38 OT ✺
20.09.25	Virginia Cavaliers - Stanford Cardinal	48:20 ✺
13.09.25	Virginia Cavaliers - William & Mary Tribe	55:16 ✺
06.09.25	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Virginia Cavaliers	35:31 ✺
30.08.25	Virginia Cavaliers - Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	48:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
12.10.24	Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals	20:24
09.11.23	Louisville Cardinals - Virginia Cavaliers	31:24
08.10.22	Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals	17:34
09.10.21	Louisville Cardinals - Virginia Cavaliers	33:34
14.11.20	Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals	31:17
26.10.19	Louisville Cardinals - Virginia Cavaliers	28:21
22.09.18	Virginia Cavaliers - Louisville Cardinals	27:3

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