Match Info

NFL - Round 3

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Hard Rock Stadium (Miami Gardens, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Usa	ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA
World	NFL Game Pass


	Miami Dolphins		Kansas City Chiefs

	1	2
	5.5	1.17	Watch
	5.26	1.16	Watch
	5.46	1.18
	5	1.17	Watch
	5.35	1.16
	5.75	1.15
	4.6	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (4.47)	1.17 ↓ (1.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Dolphins
18.2%

Kansas City Chiefs
81.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

78.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Kansas City Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

Miami Dolphins - Kansas City Chiefs Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kansas City Chiefs will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
02:06, Walker K. (Touchdown),
02:06, Butker H. (Extra Point),
11:33, Gordon O. (Touchdown),
11:33, Patterson R. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 7)
02:02, Walker K. (Touchdown),
02:02, Butker H. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (3 - 0)
04:50, Patterson R. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (0 - 10)
03:25, Butker H. (Field Goal),
12:05, Kelce T. (Touchdown),
12:05, Butker H. (Extra Point),
14:03, Butker H. (Missed Field Goal),

Preview

Miami is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Performances by Kansas City have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Kansas City has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Kansas City holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Miami has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:143 (averaging 15.2:28.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Miami against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 42:67 goals (averaging 21:33.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Dolphins
NFL
20.09.26	San Francisco 49ers - Miami Dolphins	35:13 ✺
13.09.26	Las Vegas Raiders - Miami Dolphins	27:13 ✺
28.08.26	Miami Dolphins - Atlanta Falcons	12:17 ✺
22.08.26	Miami Dolphins - New York Giants	3:26 ✺
14.08.26	Washington Commanders - Miami Dolphins	20:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
20.09.26	Kansas City Chiefs - Indianapolis Colts	33:30 OT ✺
14.09.26	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	31:10 ✺
28.08.26	Kansas City Chiefs - Seattle Seahawks	9:9 ✺
22.08.26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Kansas City Chiefs	16:15 ✺
15.08.26	Kansas City Chiefs - Los Angeles Rams	12:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
13.01.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Miami Dolphins	26:7
05.11.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Miami Dolphins	21:14
13.12.20	Miami Dolphins - Kansas City Chiefs	27:33
24.12.17	Kansas City Chiefs - Miami Dolphins	29:13
21.09.14	Miami Dolphins - Kansas City Chiefs	15:34

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