Match Info

NFL - Round 1

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	ESPN 2
Australia	ESPN
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil, ESPN 2, ESPN 6
Bulgaria	DAZN, Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 1, Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Finland	DAZN, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	Arena 4, DAZN
Italy	DAZN Italia
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Netherlands	ESPN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Peru	ESPN 2
Poland	DAZN
Romania	DAZN
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, Arena Premium 3, DAZN
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, Sky Sports NFL, Sky Sports UHD 2, TNT Sports 1
World	NFL Game Pass


	Kansas City Chiefs		Denver Broncos

	1	2
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.65	2.3
	1.75	2.07	Watch
	1.85	2.17
	1.76	2.04	Watch
	1.76	2.15
	1.74	2.15
	1.78	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.66)	2.14 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kansas City Chiefs
55%

Denver Broncos
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kansas City Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Denver Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Denver will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kansas City: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 1 - 50%). Denver (votes: 1 - 50%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Games O/U 42.5 - under (1.91) (votes: 81%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:20

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 7)
06:49, Mahomes P. (Touchdown),
06:49, Butker H. (Extra Point),
11:12, Engram E. (Touchdown),
11:12, Lutz W. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 0)
13:21, Rice R. (Touchdown),
13:21, Butker H. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (10 - 3)
02:17, Walker K. (Touchdown),
02:17, Butker H. (Extra Point),
07:24, Lutz W. (Field Goal),
11:43, Butker H. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (7 - 0)
00:21, Walker K. (Touchdown),
00:21, Butker H. (Extra Point),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 1.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 481:378. (average 24.1:18.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 234:146. (average 23.4:14.6).

Outrights of NFL for now

Kansas City Chiefs: 8.36% Denver Broncos: 3.64%

Last Results with these Odds

Denver Broncos - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.74%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kansas City Chiefs
NFL
28.08.26	Kansas City Chiefs - Seattle Seahawks	9:9 ✺
22.08.26	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Kansas City Chiefs	16:15 ✺
15.08.26	Kansas City Chiefs - Los Angeles Rams	12:20 ✺
04.01.26	Las Vegas Raiders - Kansas City Chiefs	14:12 ✺
25.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	13:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 TLLLL
- Denver Broncos
NFL
28.08.26	Denver Broncos - Minnesota Vikings	34:6 ✺
21.08.26	Denver Broncos - Green Bay Packers	13:33 ✺
14.08.26	Atlanta Falcons - Denver Broncos	7:27 ✺
25.01.26	Denver Broncos - New England Patriots	7:10 ✺
17.01.26	Denver Broncos - Buffalo Bills	33:30 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
25.12.25	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	13:20
16.11.25	Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs	22:19
05.01.25	Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs	38:0
10.11.24	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	16:14
29.10.23	Denver Broncos - Kansas City Chiefs	24:9
12.10.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	19:8
01.01.23	Kansas City Chiefs - Denver Broncos	27:24

Upcoming Matches