Match Info

USA: NFL - Round 5

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 9
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Sub, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana, M+ Deportes 6
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
United-kingdom	DAZN NFL, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Usa	NFL Game Pass
World	SuperSport ESPN 2, Virgin TV Go app


	Minnesota Vikings		New York Jets

	1	2
	1.74	2.15	Watch
	1.7	2.2
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.75	2.21
	1.72	2.14	Watch
	1.74	2.15
	1.74	2.15
	1.74	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.18)	2.16 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and NFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: NFL Network

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Vikings
55.5%

New York Jets
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Vikings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minnesota Vikings's performance.

New York Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Jets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Vikings than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minnesota Vikings that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Jets than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New York Jets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	0%	28%

Minnesota Vikings - New York Jets Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 18 - 72%). NY Jets will win (votes: 7 - 28%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (10 - 0)
07:20, Reichard W. (Field Goal),
12:42, Van Ginkel A. (Touchdown),
12:42, Reichard W. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
11:02, Ham C. J. (Touchdown),
11:02, Reichard W. (Extra Point),
14:24, Lazard A. (Touchdown),
14:24, Zuerlein G. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 3)
14:07, Zuerlein G. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (6 - 7)
02:48, Reichard W. (Field Goal),
08:56, Wilson G. (Touchdown),
08:56, Zuerlein G. (Extra Point),
11:50, Reichard W. (Field Goal),

Preview

Neutral location - Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 and 7).

Minnesota in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches NY Jets is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

NY Jets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Minnesota to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Minnesota won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 94:63 (average 31.3:21).

Including matches at home between the teams Minnesota won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 57:46 (average 28.5:23).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Vikings
NFL
29.09.24	Green Bay Packers - Minnesota Vikings	29:31 ✺
22.09.24	Minnesota Vikings - Houston Texans	34:7 ✺
15.09.24	Minnesota Vikings - San Francisco 49ers	23:17 ✺
08.09.24	New York Giants - Minnesota Vikings	6:28 ✺
24.08.24	Philadelphia Eagles - Minnesota Vikings	3:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWWW
- New York Jets
NFL
29.09.24	New York Jets - Denver Broncos	9:10 ✺
19.09.24	New York Jets - New England Patriots	24:3 ✺
15.09.24	Tennessee Titans - New York Jets	17:24 ✺
09.09.24	San Francisco 49ers - New York Jets	32:19 ✺
24.08.24	New York Jets - New York Giants	10:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NFL
04.12.22	Minnesota Vikings - New York Jets	27:22
21.10.18	New York Jets - Minnesota Vikings	17:37
07.12.14	Minnesota Vikings - New York Jets	30:24 OT

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