Match Info

USA: USFL - ROUND 8

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	New Orleans Breakers		Michigan Panthers

	1	2
	1.65	2.3
	1.54	2.5
	1.69	2.23
	1.57	2.3
	1.61	2.32
	1.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	2.34 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Orleans Breakers
59.3%

Michigan Panthers
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Orleans Breakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Michigan Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Orleans Breakers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Orleans Breakers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan Panthers than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michigan Panthers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

New Orleans Breakers - Michigan Panthers Predictions

Users Predictions: New Orleans Breakers will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:19

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Preview

Recent matches New Orleans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Michigan is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Michigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Michigan have a series of home games.

New Orleans will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 31-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Orleans Breakers
USFL
27.05.23	New Orleans Breakers - Birmingham Stallions	20:24 ✺
21.05.23	Philadelphia Stars - New Orleans Breakers	16:10 ✺
14.05.23	New Orleans Breakers - Memphis Showboats	10:17 ✺
07.05.23	New Jersey Generals - New Orleans Breakers	17:20 ✺
29.04.23	Birmingham Stallions - New Orleans Breakers	31:45 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWW
- Michigan Panthers
USFL
28.05.23	New Jersey Generals - Michigan Panthers	22:25 ✺
20.05.23	Michigan Panthers - Birmingham Stallions	13:27 ✺
13.05.23	Michigan Panthers - Pittsburgh Maulers	7:23 ✺
06.05.23	Michigan Panthers - Memphis Showboats	10:29 ✺
30.04.23	Michigan Panthers - New Jersey Generals	13:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

USFL
28.05.22	Michigan Panthers - New Orleans Breakers	27:31 OT

New Orleans Breakers - Michigan Panthers