Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	North Carolina State Wolfpack		Duke Blue Devils

	1	2
	1.67	2.25
	1.67	2.25
	1.66	2.2
	1.67	2.31
	1.63	2.24	Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.67	2.25
	1.66	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.53)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 52.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Network on TV: ACC Network (Local)

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina State Wolfpack
57.6%

Duke Blue Devils
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina State Wolfpack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Duke Blue Devils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina State Wolfpack than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duke Blue Devils than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

North Carolina State Wolfpack - Duke Blue Devils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:25

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (0 - 12)
02:50, (Safety),
08:21, Pelino T. (Field Goal),
11:15, Moore J. (Touchdown),
11:15, Pelino T. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (9 - 0)
03:33, Vinesett K. (Field Goal),
09:07, Vinesett K. (Field Goal),
14:59, Vinesett K. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (3 - 7)
06:03, Vinesett K. (Field Goal),
10:23, Murphy M. (Touchdown),
10:23, Pelino T. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 10)
01:02, Hagans S. (Touchdown),
01:02, Pelino T. (Extra Point),
05:59, Grimes W. (Touchdown),
05:59, Vinesett K. (Extra Point),
12:54, Pelino T. (Field Goal),

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Duke could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently North Carolina State have a series of home games.

North Carolina State will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches North Carolina State won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 54:82 (average 18:27.3).

Including matches at home between the teams North Carolina State won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 31:20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina State Wolfpack football
NCAA College Football
02.11.24	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Stanford Cardinal	59:28 ✺
19.10.24	California Golden Bears - North Carolina State Wolfpack	23:24 ✺
12.10.24	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Syracuse Orange	17:24 ✺
05.10.24	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Wake Forest Demon Deacons	30:34 ✺
28.09.24	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Northern Illinois Huskies	24:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLLW
- Duke Blue Devils football
NCAA College Football
02.11.24	Miami FL Hurricanes - Duke Blue Devils	53:31 ✺
26.10.24	Duke Blue Devils - Southern Methodist Mustangs	27:28 OT ✺
18.10.24	Duke Blue Devils - Florida State Seminoles	23:16 ✺
05.10.24	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets - Duke Blue Devils	24:14 ✺
28.09.24	Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina Tar Heels	21:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
14.10.23	Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina State Wolfpack	24:3
17.10.20	North Carolina State Wolfpack - Duke Blue Devils	31:20
09.11.13	Duke Blue Devils - North Carolina State Wolfpack	38:20

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