Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	North Texas Mean Green		East Carolina Pirates

	1	2
	1.71	2.2
	1.7	2.2
	1.72	2.15
	1.74	2.2
	1.69	2.13	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.71	2.2
	1.72	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)	2.16 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 74.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Texas Mean Green
55.8%

East Carolina Pirates
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas Mean Green has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

East Carolina Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Texas Mean Green than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Texas Mean Green that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Carolina Pirates than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Carolina Pirates could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

North Texas Mean Green - East Carolina Pirates Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:36

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 0)
06:29, Conwright B. (Touchdown),
06:29, Nguma K. (Extra Point),
09:06, Coleman M. (Touchdown),
09:06, Nguma K. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 7)
11:54, Conwright B. (Touchdown),
11:54, Nguma K. (Extra Point),
15:00, Harris R. (Touchdown),
15:00, Conrad A. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 24)
01:54, Harris R. (Touchdown),
01:54, Conrad A. (Extra Point),
06:41, Conrad A. (Field Goal),
08:52, Smith A. (Touchdown),
08:52, Conrad A. (Extra Point),
13:17, Smith A. (Touchdown),
13:17, Conrad A. (Extra Point),
14:56, McGill M. (Touchdown),
14:56, Nguma K. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (0 - 9)
04:24, Conrad A. (Field Goal),
13:22, Harris R. (Touchdown),

Preview

North Texas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches East Carolina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

East Carolina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Texas Mean Green football
NCAA College Football
15.11.24	UT-San Antonio Roadrunners - North Texas Mean Green	48:27 ✺
09.11.24	North Texas Mean Green - Army Black Knights	3:14 ✺
26.10.24	North Texas Mean Green - Tulane Green Wave	37:45 ✺
19.10.24	Memphis Tigers - North Texas Mean Green	52:44 ✺
12.10.24	Florida Atlantic Owls - North Texas Mean Green	37:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- East Carolina Pirates football
NCAA College Football
14.11.24	Tulsa Golden Hurricane - East Carolina Pirates	31:38 ✺
07.11.24	East Carolina Pirates - Florida Atlantic Owls	49:14 ✺
26.10.24	East Carolina Pirates - Temple Owls	56:34 ✺
19.10.24	Army Black Knights - East Carolina Pirates	45:28 ✺
05.10.24	Charlotte 49ers - East Carolina Pirates	55:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

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