Match Info

USA: XFL - ROUND 8

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:00	ESPN
Germany	22:00	Sport 1+
Hungary	22:00	Match 4


	Orlando Guardians		Dallas Renegades

	1	2
	1.77	2.1
	1.74	2.15
	1.79	2.04
	1.78	2.1
	1.85	1.85
	1.83	1.97	Watch
	1.73	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	2.03 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

Watch this match and XFL with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN TEST

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Guardians
53.2%

Dallas Renegades
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Guardians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Dallas Renegades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Guardians than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Renegades than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Orlando Guardians - Dallas Renegades Predictions

Users Predictions: Dallas Renegades will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:20

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Preview

Orlando is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arlington is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arlington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Orlando won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 39-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Guardians
XFL
01.04.23	Orlando Guardians - DC Defenders	37:36 ✺
25.03.23	Orlando Guardians - Seattle Sea Dragons	19:26 ✺
18.03.23	Vegas Vipers - Orlando Guardians	35:32 ✺
11.03.23	Orlando Guardians - Houston Roughnecks	16:44 ✺
05.03.23	Dallas Renegades - Orlando Guardians	10:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLL
- Dallas Renegades
XFL
31.03.23	Dallas Renegades - Seattle Sea Dragons	15:24 ✺
26.03.23	Dallas Renegades - San Antonio Brahmas	9:15 ✺
19.03.23	San Antonio Brahmas - Dallas Renegades	10:12 ✺
12.03.23	St. Louis BattleHawks - Dallas Renegades	24:11 ✺
05.03.23	Dallas Renegades - Orlando Guardians	10:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

XFL
05.03.23	Dallas Renegades - Orlando Guardians	10:9
07.03.20	Dallas Renegades - Orlando Guardians	12:30

Orlando Guardians - Dallas Renegades