Match Info

AFLE

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Paris Lights		Berlin Thunder

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Paris Lights
27.4%

Berlin Thunder
72.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Berlin Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Lights than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berlin Thunder than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:37

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Paris is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Berlin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Berlin has had a series of home games.

In this match, Berlin is considered a favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Lights
AFLE American Football
01.08.26	Firenze Red Lions - Paris Lights	26:45 ✺
26.07.26	Paris Lights - Rhein Fire	6:62
18.07.26	Paris Lights - London Warriors	23:44 ✺
11.07.26	Vikings Vienna - Paris Lights	56:6 ✺
04.07.26	Panthers Wroclaw - Paris Lights	38:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- Berlin Thunder
AFLE American Football
02.08.26	Berlin Thunder - London Warriors	29:40 ✺
18.07.26	Berlin Thunder - Alpine Rams	40:17 ✺
12.07.26	Berlin Thunder - Firenze Red Lions	49:3 ✺
05.07.26	Berlin Thunder - Vikings Vienna	7:45 ✺
21.06.26	Rhein Fire - Berlin Thunder	45:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWWLL

Paris Lights - Berlin Thunder