Match Info

NFL - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Croke Park (Dublin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Austria	RTL
Colombia	ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports MAX 5
Germany	RTL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Ireland	Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Portugal	DAZN 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	RTL
Turkey	S Sport+
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN, Virgin TV Go app
World	NFL Game Pass


	Pittsburgh Steelers		Minnesota Vikings

	1	2
	2.25	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.25	1.71
	1.24	3.91	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.25	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.72)	2.06 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pittsburgh Steelers
50.3%

Minnesota Vikings
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pittsburgh Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pittsburgh Steelers's form might have worsened.

Minnesota Vikings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota Vikings's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Steelers than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Vikings than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Pittsburgh Steelers - Minnesota Vikings Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Minnesota will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Minnesota (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Minnesota (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 25%). Minnesota (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (7 - 3)
08:36, Reichard W. (Field Goal),
14:05, Gainwell K. (Touchdown),
14:05, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (7 - 3)
02:44, Metcalf D. (Touchdown),
02:44, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
13:22, Boswell C. (Missed Field Goal),
14:48, Reichard W. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (7 - 0)
12:37, Gainwell K. (Touchdown),
12:37, Boswell C. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 15)
03:42, Boswell C. (Field Goal),
07:10, Scott Z. (Touchdown),
07:10, Nailor J. (Two-Point Conversion),
12:52, Nailor J. (Touchdown),
12:52, Reichard W. (Extra Point),

Preview

Neutral location - Croke Park.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 84:93. (average 21:23.3).

Including home match between the teams, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pittsburgh Steelers
NFL
21.09.25	New England Patriots - Pittsburgh Steelers	14:21 ✺
14.09.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Seattle Seahawks	17:31 ✺
07.09.25	New York Jets - Pittsburgh Steelers	32:34 ✺
21.08.25	Carolina Panthers - Pittsburgh Steelers	10:19 ✺
16.08.25	Pittsburgh Steelers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers	14:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWWL
- Minnesota Vikings
NFL
21.09.25	Minnesota Vikings - Cincinnati Bengals	48:10 ✺
14.09.25	Minnesota Vikings - Atlanta Falcons	6:22 ✺
08.09.25	Chicago Bears - Minnesota Vikings	24:27 ✺
22.08.25	Tennessee Titans - Minnesota Vikings	23:13 ✺
16.08.25	Minnesota Vikings - New England Patriots	12:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NFL
09.12.21	Minnesota Vikings - Pittsburgh Steelers	36:28
17.09.17	Pittsburgh Steelers - Minnesota Vikings	26:9
09.08.15	Minnesota Vikings - Pittsburgh Steelers	14:3
29.09.13	Minnesota Vikings - Pittsburgh Steelers	34:27

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