Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 29 November 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
World	Disney+


	South Alabama Jaguars		Texas State Bobcats

	1	2
	1.95	1.87
	1.95	1.87
	1.98	1.85
	2	1.87
	1.96	1.82	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.95	1.87
	1.98	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.9)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Alabama Jaguars
48.6%

Texas State Bobcats
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Alabama Jaguars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Texas State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Alabama Jaguars than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texas State Bobcats than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (14 - 14)
03:07, McCloud J. (Touchdown),
03:07, Shipley M. (Extra Point),
05:22, Bothwell F. (Touchdown),
05:22, Marjan L. (Extra Point),
06:45, Myrick B. (Touchdown),
06:45, Marjan L. (Extra Point),
10:21, Jackson B. (Touchdown),
10:21, Shipley M. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (14 - 7)
06:01, Mahdi I. (Touchdown),
06:01, Shipley M. (Extra Point),
11:01, Pritchett J. (Touchdown),
11:01, Marjan L. (Extra Point),
12:54, Lopez G. (Touchdown),
12:54, Marjan L. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (7 - 10)
08:27, Pare L. (Touchdown),
08:27, Shipley M. (Extra Point),
12:11, Shipley M. (Field Goal),
13:16, Bothwell F. (Touchdown),
13:16, Marjan L. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (3 - 14)
03:21, Hobert J. (Touchdown),
03:21, Shipley M. (Extra Point),
07:33, Nunnery M. (Touchdown),
07:33, Shipley M. (Extra Point),
13:26, Marjan L. (Field Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches South Alabama won 2.

South Alabama is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Texas State is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's South Alabama to win the game is with odds 1.96.

Last 9 head-to-head matches South Alabama won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 285:276 (average 31.7:30.7).

Including matches at home between the teams South Alabama won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 133:92 (average 33.3:23).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Alabama Jaguars football
NCAA College Football
23.11.24	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - South Alabama Jaguars	14:35 ✺
16.11.24	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns - South Alabama Jaguars	22:24 ✺
02.11.24	South Alabama Jaguars - Georgia Southern Eagles	30:34 ✺
26.10.24	South Alabama Jaguars - Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	46:17 ✺
15.10.24	South Alabama Jaguars - Troy Trojans	25:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW
- Texas State Bobcats football
NCAA College Football
23.11.24	Texas State Bobcats - Georgia State Panthers	44:52 ✺
16.11.24	Texas State Bobcats - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	58:3 ✺
09.11.24	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks - Texas State Bobcats	17:38 ✺
29.10.24	Texas State Bobcats - Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin` Cajuns	17:23 ✺
19.10.24	Old Dominion Monarchs - Texas State Bobcats	24:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Football
25.11.23	Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars	52:44
12.11.22	South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats	38:21
09.10.21	Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars	33:31 OT
17.10.20	South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats	30:20
09.11.19	Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars	30:28
15.09.18	South Alabama Jaguars - Texas State Bobcats	41:31
24.10.15	Texas State Bobcats - South Alabama Jaguars	36:18

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